full transcript

From the Ted Talk by Ari Wallach: 3 ways to plan for the (very) long term


Unscramble the Blue Letters


So I've been "futuring," which is a term I made up —

(Laughter)

about three seconds ago. I've been futuring for about 20 years, and when I first setrtad, I would sit down with people, and say, "Hey, let's talk 10, 20 years out." And they'd say, "Great." And I've been seeing that time horizon get shorter and shorter and sohertr, so much so that I met with a CEO two months ago and I said — we started our initial conversation. He goes, "I love what you do. I want to talk about the next six mohnts."

(laeguthr)

We have a lot of problems that we are ficang. These are civilizational-scale problems. The issue though is, we can't sovle them using the mental models that we use right now to try and solve these problems. Yes, a lot of great technical work is being done, but there is a problem that we need to solve for a prrioi, before, if we want to really move the needle on those big problems. "Short-termism." Right? There's no marches. There's no bracelets. There's no petitions that you can sign to be against short-termism. I tried to put one up, and no one signed. It was weird.

Open Cloze


So I've been "futuring," which is a term I made up —

(Laughter)

about three seconds ago. I've been futuring for about 20 years, and when I first _______, I would sit down with people, and say, "Hey, let's talk 10, 20 years out." And they'd say, "Great." And I've been seeing that time horizon get shorter and shorter and _______, so much so that I met with a CEO two months ago and I said — we started our initial conversation. He goes, "I love what you do. I want to talk about the next six ______."

(________)

We have a lot of problems that we are ______. These are civilizational-scale problems. The issue though is, we can't _____ them using the mental models that we use right now to try and solve these problems. Yes, a lot of great technical work is being done, but there is a problem that we need to solve for a ______, before, if we want to really move the needle on those big problems. "Short-termism." Right? There's no marches. There's no bracelets. There's no petitions that you can sign to be against short-termism. I tried to put one up, and no one signed. It was weird.

Solution


  1. shorter
  2. priori
  3. facing
  4. laughter
  5. started
  6. solve
  7. months

Original Text


So I've been "futuring," which is a term I made up —

(Laughter)

about three seconds ago. I've been futuring for about 20 years, and when I first started, I would sit down with people, and say, "Hey, let's talk 10, 20 years out." And they'd say, "Great." And I've been seeing that time horizon get shorter and shorter and shorter, so much so that I met with a CEO two months ago and I said — we started our initial conversation. He goes, "I love what you do. I want to talk about the next six months."

(Laughter)

We have a lot of problems that we are facing. These are civilizational-scale problems. The issue though is, we can't solve them using the mental models that we use right now to try and solve these problems. Yes, a lot of great technical work is being done, but there is a problem that we need to solve for a priori, before, if we want to really move the needle on those big problems. "Short-termism." Right? There's no marches. There's no bracelets. There's no petitions that you can sign to be against short-termism. I tried to put one up, and no one signed. It was weird.

Frequently Occurring Word Combinations


ngrams of length 2

collocation frequency
transgenerational thinking 3
mental models 2
sandbag strategy 2
high priests 2



Important Words


  1. big
  2. bracelets
  3. ceo
  4. conversation
  5. facing
  6. futuring
  7. great
  8. horizon
  9. initial
  10. issue
  11. laughter
  12. lot
  13. love
  14. marches
  15. mental
  16. met
  17. models
  18. months
  19. move
  20. needle
  21. people
  22. petitions
  23. priori
  24. problem
  25. problems
  26. put
  27. seconds
  28. shorter
  29. sign
  30. signed
  31. sit
  32. solve
  33. started
  34. talk
  35. technical
  36. term
  37. time
  38. weird
  39. work
  40. years