From the Ted Talk by Ari Wallach: 3 ways to plan for the (very) long term
Unscramble the Blue Letters
So I've been "futuring," which is a term I made up —
(Laughter)
about three seconds ago. I've been futuring for about 20 years, and when I first setrtad, I would sit down with people, and say, "Hey, let's talk 10, 20 years out." And they'd say, "Great." And I've been seeing that time horizon get shorter and shorter and sohertr, so much so that I met with a CEO two months ago and I said — we started our initial conversation. He goes, "I love what you do. I want to talk about the next six mohnts."
(laeguthr)
We have a lot of problems that we are ficang. These are civilizational-scale problems. The issue though is, we can't sovle them using the mental models that we use right now to try and solve these problems. Yes, a lot of great technical work is being done, but there is a problem that we need to solve for a prrioi, before, if we want to really move the needle on those big problems. "Short-termism." Right? There's no marches. There's no bracelets. There's no petitions that you can sign to be against short-termism. I tried to put one up, and no one signed. It was weird.
Open Cloze
So I've been "futuring," which is a term I made up —
(Laughter)
about three seconds ago. I've been futuring for about 20 years, and when I first _______, I would sit down with people, and say, "Hey, let's talk 10, 20 years out." And they'd say, "Great." And I've been seeing that time horizon get shorter and shorter and _______, so much so that I met with a CEO two months ago and I said — we started our initial conversation. He goes, "I love what you do. I want to talk about the next six ______."
(________)
We have a lot of problems that we are ______. These are civilizational-scale problems. The issue though is, we can't _____ them using the mental models that we use right now to try and solve these problems. Yes, a lot of great technical work is being done, but there is a problem that we need to solve for a ______, before, if we want to really move the needle on those big problems. "Short-termism." Right? There's no marches. There's no bracelets. There's no petitions that you can sign to be against short-termism. I tried to put one up, and no one signed. It was weird.
Solution
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Original Text
So I've been "futuring," which is a term I made up —
(Laughter)
about three seconds ago. I've been futuring for about 20 years, and when I first started, I would sit down with people, and say, "Hey, let's talk 10, 20 years out." And they'd say, "Great." And I've been seeing that time horizon get shorter and shorter and shorter, so much so that I met with a CEO two months ago and I said — we started our initial conversation. He goes, "I love what you do. I want to talk about the next six months."
(Laughter)
We have a lot of problems that we are facing. These are civilizational-scale problems. The issue though is, we can't solve them using the mental models that we use right now to try and solve these problems. Yes, a lot of great technical work is being done, but there is a problem that we need to solve for a priori, before, if we want to really move the needle on those big problems. "Short-termism." Right? There's no marches. There's no bracelets. There's no petitions that you can sign to be against short-termism. I tried to put one up, and no one signed. It was weird.