full transcript

From the Ted Talk by Ian Bremmer: The US vs. itself — and other top global risks in 2024


Unscramble the Blue Letters


HW: Right, the interconnections and the tangled web becomes ever more tangled as more actors get involved. This is a really like, a stupid, deliberately stupid question. But do you feel like any heops for a two-state solution are vapor?

IB: They're not vapor, but they ain't close. I mean, I don't see, in the foreseeable future, "security," if I can use that term, will be provided by Israel and not by anybody else. And you know, what that menas in the context of Gaza is hard to dienfe. It's mostly about security for the Israelis. It's not about security for the Palestinians, but long-term, you can't have a two-state solution unless you have effective governance that is seen as legitimate by Palestinians living in Gaza and the West Bank, and the atiibly to defend themselves. The Israelis have made it very clear, they have a right to defend themselves. And that has failed, in part because the Israeli gnmneoevrt was asleep at the switch before October 7. ilaersi intelligence, defense fcroes and, most importantly, their prime minister and government, who had other priorities. And also because they are surenroudd by a nbemur of organizations that do not recognize their right to exist in the territory of Israel. So, absolutely, the Israelis have a right to ensure the scerutiy of their people. But the peilaitnnsas have that right, too. The deecnffire is that the Israelis not only have the right, they also have the capacity. They've got Iron Dome, provided in large part by the United States, financed as well. They've got an incredible asctmmariyel military advantage, not only over the Palestinians, but over everyone in the region. They only need to apply it effectively. And apply it effectively without kiilnlg tens of thousands of civilians, right? While the Palestinians have the right to self-defense, as is continually enshrined in vtoes at the General aslbmesy by the vast majority of countries from all over the wrlod, including American allies, they just don't have the ability. And you can't talk about a two-state solution until you can get the Palestinians the ability to govern themselves and defend themselves. And we are very, very, very far away from that. And since we're just talking about 2024 today, there is no two-state solution in the cards for 2024.

Open Cloze


HW: Right, the interconnections and the tangled web becomes ever more tangled as more actors get involved. This is a really like, a stupid, deliberately stupid question. But do you feel like any _____ for a two-state solution are vapor?

IB: They're not vapor, but they ain't close. I mean, I don't see, in the foreseeable future, "security," if I can use that term, will be provided by Israel and not by anybody else. And you know, what that _____ in the context of Gaza is hard to ______. It's mostly about security for the Israelis. It's not about security for the Palestinians, but long-term, you can't have a two-state solution unless you have effective governance that is seen as legitimate by Palestinians living in Gaza and the West Bank, and the _______ to defend themselves. The Israelis have made it very clear, they have a right to defend themselves. And that has failed, in part because the Israeli __________ was asleep at the switch before October 7. _______ intelligence, defense ______ and, most importantly, their prime minister and government, who had other priorities. And also because they are __________ by a ______ of organizations that do not recognize their right to exist in the territory of Israel. So, absolutely, the Israelis have a right to ensure the ________ of their people. But the ____________ have that right, too. The __________ is that the Israelis not only have the right, they also have the capacity. They've got Iron Dome, provided in large part by the United States, financed as well. They've got an incredible ____________ military advantage, not only over the Palestinians, but over everyone in the region. They only need to apply it effectively. And apply it effectively without _______ tens of thousands of civilians, right? While the Palestinians have the right to self-defense, as is continually enshrined in _____ at the General ________ by the vast majority of countries from all over the _____, including American allies, they just don't have the ability. And you can't talk about a two-state solution until you can get the Palestinians the ability to govern themselves and defend themselves. And we are very, very, very far away from that. And since we're just talking about 2024 today, there is no two-state solution in the cards for 2024.

Solution


  1. government
  2. assembly
  3. votes
  4. israeli
  5. world
  6. forces
  7. security
  8. hopes
  9. means
  10. asymmetrical
  11. define
  12. surrounded
  13. number
  14. difference
  15. killing
  16. ability
  17. palestinians

Original Text


HW: Right, the interconnections and the tangled web becomes ever more tangled as more actors get involved. This is a really like, a stupid, deliberately stupid question. But do you feel like any hopes for a two-state solution are vapor?

IB: They're not vapor, but they ain't close. I mean, I don't see, in the foreseeable future, "security," if I can use that term, will be provided by Israel and not by anybody else. And you know, what that means in the context of Gaza is hard to define. It's mostly about security for the Israelis. It's not about security for the Palestinians, but long-term, you can't have a two-state solution unless you have effective governance that is seen as legitimate by Palestinians living in Gaza and the West Bank, and the ability to defend themselves. The Israelis have made it very clear, they have a right to defend themselves. And that has failed, in part because the Israeli government was asleep at the switch before October 7. Israeli intelligence, defense forces and, most importantly, their prime minister and government, who had other priorities. And also because they are surrounded by a number of organizations that do not recognize their right to exist in the territory of Israel. So, absolutely, the Israelis have a right to ensure the security of their people. But the Palestinians have that right, too. The difference is that the Israelis not only have the right, they also have the capacity. They've got Iron Dome, provided in large part by the United States, financed as well. They've got an incredible asymmetrical military advantage, not only over the Palestinians, but over everyone in the region. They only need to apply it effectively. And apply it effectively without killing tens of thousands of civilians, right? While the Palestinians have the right to self-defense, as is continually enshrined in votes at the General Assembly by the vast majority of countries from all over the world, including American allies, they just don't have the ability. And you can't talk about a two-state solution until you can get the Palestinians the ability to govern themselves and defend themselves. And we are very, very, very far away from that. And since we're just talking about 2024 today, there is no two-state solution in the cards for 2024.

Frequently Occurring Word Combinations


ngrams of length 2

collocation frequency
united states 19
political system 3
artificial intelligence 3
bad actors 3
export controls 3
critical minerals 3
top risks 2
geopolitical environment 2
major war 2
big fight 2
climate change 2
coming year 2
middle east 2
defense forces 2
prime minister 2
israeli government 2
global stage 2
nuclear weapons 2
providing military 2
military support 2
ukrainian territory 2
ai players 2
negative externalities 2
putting export 2
supply chain 2

ngrams of length 3

collocation frequency
providing military support 2
putting export controls 2


Important Words


  1. ability
  2. absolutely
  3. actors
  4. advantage
  5. allies
  6. american
  7. apply
  8. asleep
  9. assembly
  10. asymmetrical
  11. bank
  12. capacity
  13. cards
  14. civilians
  15. clear
  16. close
  17. context
  18. continually
  19. countries
  20. defend
  21. defense
  22. define
  23. deliberately
  24. difference
  25. dome
  26. effective
  27. effectively
  28. enshrined
  29. ensure
  30. exist
  31. failed
  32. feel
  33. financed
  34. forces
  35. foreseeable
  36. future
  37. gaza
  38. general
  39. govern
  40. governance
  41. government
  42. hard
  43. hopes
  44. importantly
  45. including
  46. incredible
  47. intelligence
  48. interconnections
  49. involved
  50. iron
  51. israel
  52. israeli
  53. israelis
  54. killing
  55. large
  56. legitimate
  57. living
  58. majority
  59. means
  60. military
  61. minister
  62. number
  63. october
  64. organizations
  65. palestinians
  66. part
  67. people
  68. prime
  69. priorities
  70. question
  71. recognize
  72. region
  73. security
  74. solution
  75. states
  76. stupid
  77. surrounded
  78. switch
  79. talk
  80. talking
  81. tangled
  82. tens
  83. term
  84. territory
  85. thousands
  86. today
  87. united
  88. vapor
  89. vast
  90. votes
  91. web
  92. west
  93. world