full transcript
From the Ted Talk by TED-Ed: Will there be another pandemic in your lifetime?
Unscramble the Blue Letters
There are several ways to answer this question.
You could look at hsortiy. A team of ssnietitcs and engineers who took this approach catalogued all dmoecunetd epidemics and pandemics between 1600 and 1950. They used that data to do two things. First, to graph the likelihood that an oarutebk of any size pops up somewhere in the world over a set period of time. And second, to estimate the lhoioekild that that outbreak would get large enough to kill a certain pegantcere of the world's population. This graph shows that while huge pandemics are unlikely, they're not that unlikely. The team used these two distributions to estimate that the risk of a COVID-19-level pandemic is about 0.5% per year, and could be as high as 1.4% if new diaseses emerge more frequently in the future.
Open Cloze
There are several ways to answer this question.
You could look at _______. A team of __________ and engineers who took this approach catalogued all __________ epidemics and pandemics between 1600 and 1950. They used that data to do two things. First, to graph the likelihood that an ________ of any size pops up somewhere in the world over a set period of time. And second, to estimate the __________ that that outbreak would get large enough to kill a certain __________ of the world's population. This graph shows that while huge pandemics are unlikely, they're not that unlikely. The team used these two distributions to estimate that the risk of a COVID-19-level pandemic is about 0.5% per year, and could be as high as 1.4% if new ________ emerge more frequently in the future.
Solution
- outbreak
- scientists
- documented
- percentage
- diseases
- likelihood
- history
Original Text
There are several ways to answer this question.
You could look at history. A team of scientists and engineers who took this approach catalogued all documented epidemics and pandemics between 1600 and 1950. They used that data to do two things. First, to graph the likelihood that an outbreak of any size pops up somewhere in the world over a set period of time. And second, to estimate the likelihood that that outbreak would get large enough to kill a certain percentage of the world's population. This graph shows that while huge pandemics are unlikely, they're not that unlikely. The team used these two distributions to estimate that the risk of a COVID-19-level pandemic is about 0.5% per year, and could be as high as 1.4% if new diseases emerge more frequently in the future.
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